Ttyjukl

Yesterday, April 28, 2019, I was flying on Alaska flight 557 from LAX to PDX.

About an hour into the flight (near the California/Oregon border) I was looking out the window and saw a jet travelling the opposite direction from us. It was travelling exactly the opposite direction of us and I saw it when it was ~45-60 degrees forward of us.

Within a couple of seconds of my seeing it, we banked sharply to the right. It was not a violent turn; An answer to this question describes true evasive maneuvers as, "those of you not strapped down would have been hurled to the ceiling or slammed to the floor and your stomach would be heaving in a different direction from the rest of you." - and we didn't have anything like that. I'm not sure I would have even noticed the turn had I not been looking out the window.

However, it was a pretty sharp mid-flight maneuver, and because I was over the wing, I didn't get to see the other airplane at closest approach because the wing blocked my view. I would estimate that it was about 3-5000 feet away from us. I felt like he was at pretty close to our altitude, but again, as the linked question says, that's hard to say for sure.

The linked question points out that distances and altitude differences are hard to judge. That's fair, so I'll offer the following bona fides:

• I live about half a mile from a commercial airport, perpendicular to the end of the runway, so I have a good idea of what jets that are half a mile away from me look like. I would estimate that the other jet was a bit but not a lot further away than that.


• If two jets pass by each other at 1/2 mile, and you can see another jet that is 60 degrees in front of or behind you, and he, like us, was travelling 480 mph, he would have been in my field of vision for 6.5 seconds. That sounds about like what I remember. At 3 miles, that number turns into 40 seconds. I don't remember the exact amount of time, but my initial estimate before I did this math was 8 seconds.

I could imagine our pilot banking the plane simply to lessen the odds of the passengers noticing a safe encounter, as even a safe encounter leads to awkward questions on sites like this.

So, my question: Did we have a near miss, or was this a standard close-but-intended encounter?

It's unlikely. Because of RVSM, Reduced Vertical Separation Minima rules, the vertical distance between airplanes passing each other is only 1000 ft. If you were in the flight deck so you could see out front, you'd be having a wonderful time freaking out because airplanes on the same airway pass above and below going the other direction only 1000 ft away. And when they pass over 1000 ft away it looks like 300 the first few times you experience it.

Plus, thanks to GPS, everybody is exactly on the center of the airway all the time, so every oncoming airplane seems to be coming straight at you until they are a couple miles away and when they go by they are perfectly lined up above or below (the passengers rarely see them all as a result and have no idea that they are regularly are passing other aircraft close by like cars on a highway).

Same with airplanes crossing your track, or going the opposite way on an offset track (those are the ones that passengers see). If they happen to pass directly above or below, or close by going the other way, same deal - only 1000 ft above or below if they are on the next flight level and it looks like they are right next to you.

The other thing is that collision avoidance systems (TCAS) give a climb or descend instruction when there is a need to take evasive action, not a turn, so if there was an actual TCAS event you'd be pressed into your seat or coming out of it, not turning.

That being said, it is possible that one of the crew saw something visually and decided to maneuver laterally to avoid it (it was likely someone hand flying because autopilot turns are pretty gentle), but keeping in mind that fact that airplanes normally pass really close vertically, and serious evasive action usually results in stuff flying about inside, it's a good chance that what you saw was normal.